Stocks Jump on China; Bonds Flash Post-Fed Concern: Markets Wrap

Stocks Jump on China; Bonds Flash Post-Fed Concern: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) -- Stocks jumped Thursday on a surge in Chinese technology shares and as traders digested the Federal Reserve’s view that a robust U.S. economy can weather the campaign against high inflation now underway.

An Asia-Pacific equity index rose about 3%, boosted by China’s effort to stabilize its markets, which was unveiled a day ago. U.S. and European futures climbed after the S&P 500’s best two-day advance since 2020. Possible progress on Russia-Ukraine cease-fire talks is also helping sentiment.

The Fed raised rates by a quarter percentage point and signalled hikes at all six remaining meetings in 2022. Chair Jerome Powell said the U.S. economy is “very strong” and can handle monetary tightening.

Treasuries advanced, while a portion of the bond curve -- the gap between five- and 10-year yields -- inverted for the first time since March 2020. For some, the latter highlights a growing risk that the Fed’s efforts to rein in inflation could trigger an economic downturn.

The dollar was steady and the yen hovered near a six-year low. Oil snapped a three-day drop but remains down more than 10% for the week.

The Fed said it would begin allowing its $8.9 trillion balance sheet to shrink at a “coming meeting,” without elaborating. The U.S. central bank is among a number from Brazil to the U.K. that are raising borrowing costs. The commodity shock from Russia’s war in Ukraine is continuing to aggravate price pressures and economic risks, portending more market volatility.

Our view is that the Fed put is just a lot lower,” said Mary Nicola, a global multi-asset portfolio manager at PineBridge Investments, referring to the notion that U.S. policy-makers may be slower to step in to help financial markets if they hit turbulence.

If we put aside the current geopolitical situation and just focus on the U.S. economy, the U.S. consumer, their household balance sheets are in a much better position than they were post the global financial crisis,” she said.

After the latest round of peace talks, a Russian spokesman said a neutral Ukraine with its own army is a possible compromise, while Kyiv said it needs security guarantees. President Joe Biden said the U.S. would send Ukraine drones and thousands of anti-aircraft and anti-tank missiles.

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Here are some key events to watch this week:

  • Bank of England rate decision, Thursday
  • ECB President Christine Lagarde, Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel, Governing Council member Ignazio Visco and Chief Economist Philip Lane speak at a conference, Thursday
  • Bank of Japan rate decision, Friday


Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • S&P 500 futures rose 0.2% of 7 a.m. in London. The S&P 500 rose 2.2%
  • Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.4%. The Nasdaq 100 rose 3.7%
  • Japan’s Topix index climbed 2.5%
  • South Korea’s Kospi index increased 1.3%
  • Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index climbed 1.1%
  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index surged 5.9%
  • China’s Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.4%
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures added 0.5%


Currencies

  • The Japanese yen was at 118.82 per dollar
  • The offshore yuan was at 6.3630 per dollar
  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was steady
  • The euro was at $1.1039


Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell three basis point to 2.16%
  • Australia’s 10-year yield increased one basis point to 2.51%
  • Commodities
  • West Texas Intermediate crude rose 2% to $96.99 a barrel
  • Gold was at $1,932.50 an ounce, up 0.3%